Top
Content

LOX Summary Report: The proposal

A single option is advanced for a four runway airport with two pairs of close parallel runways. The annual capacity would be 120 million passengers and 4 million tonnes of air cargo. The initial phase of passenger Terminals would provide an annual capacity of 60 million passengers, with the anticipated further phases in 2021 and 2024 giving a combined capacity of 90 and 120 millions respectively.

Runways would be provided to match demand, in two phases each of two runways. Applying a utilisation limit of 80 per cent for the use of the airport runway system, all four runways would not be required until about 2024.

Although the demand forecast for the airport shows a need for two Terminals, each serving 30 million passengers, and two runways from the opening date, the design allows for construction of a single Terminal and runway should demand not match the projected levels.

There are no major 'front end' capital costs entailed in the development of the airport. The comparatively low costs of the initial phases and the ability to ensure that growth could be closely and economically matched to demand would significantly reduce the risk that the project would require Public Sector financial support.

Master plan

The airport Master Plan layout in the context of the nearby settlements is shown on Figure 2.

Airport Master Plan layout
Figure 2: Airport Master Plan layout Larger image (pdf) (148k)

Costs

The airport development costs are estimated at about £11.2 billion (based on Quarter 1 2002 prices). A Pre-feasibility estimate of costs, including those for infrastructure and a Development Zone, is included in an associated report.

Download a pdf version (size 92K) of the Cost report.

Demand forecast

Forecasts of passenger demand at the airport is based on the Department for Transport forecasts to 2030. [note 2]

In order to demonstrate a 25 year project operational period the demand is projected to 2040 on the basis of a long-term trend that assumes market stability for air transport in about 2050-2060.


Table 1: Forecast demand for LOX

Option Year   Passengers
(mppa)
ATM*
('000)
 

2 runways

2015

Capacity

60

513

 

 

Demand

35

250

2 runways

2020

Capacity

90

513

 

 

Demand

50

338

4 runways

2030

Capacity

120

756

 

 

Demand

98

606

4 runways

2040

Capacity

120

756

 

 

Demand

120

719

 

* Air Transport Movements, including Cargo ATM's


Air cargo forecast

The forecast of air cargo demand at the airport is [see Appendix Figures A.1-A.9]:


Table 2: Forecast air cargo demand for LOX

Option Year   Air Cargo
(million tonnes)
ATM
('000)
 

2 runways

2015

Capacity

1.0

25

 

 

Demand

0.9

12

2 runways

2020

Capacity

2.0

25

 

 

Demand

1.4

18

4 runways

2030

Capacity

3.0

50

 

 

Demand

2.9

33

4 runways

2040

Capacity

4.0

50

 

 

Demand

4.0

44

 

Note 2

Air Traffic Forecasts for the United Kingdom 2000. Department for Transport. London, 2000.
Return |




The LOX Report (2003)

❖ The LOX Report (2003) is freely available as PDF documents here.

Note:
The former links to these documents are 'dead'. Both were available online on government websites, but the tiresome habit of the British Civil Service of 'burying' information seems to have endured into the age of the internet. The former link to Review of London Oxford Airport (PDF document), Halcrow (2003), if followed beyond the re-direct page, yields a looped link—misleading re-titled as The Future of Air Transport - White Paper and the Civil Aviation Bill. Thus the supposedly archived documents are effectively hidden: hence we provide them through the above links to our archive copies of the originals. [Unsuprisingly] all references to LOX have disappeared from .gov.uk sites.

Site Design by Pleiade Associates
| Return to the top |